From Alamagordo Daily News: Who's next in line for the 'one small step' on moon?
Last week marked the 40th anniversary of the Apollo 17 mission Ð the sixth and last manned lunar landing mission.
The
Apollo 17 crew included mission commander Eugene Cernan, lunar module
pilot Harrison "Jack" Schmitt and command module pilot Ronald Evans.
Apollo
17 lifted off on Dec. 7, 1972 the only nighttime launch in the Apollo
program and after a three-day voyage (which the onboard astronauts
took the famous and iconic "blue marble" photograph of Earth) arrived
in lunar orbit. Cernan and Schmitt then departed the command module
America, and in the lunar module Challenger, descended toward their
planned landing site, the Taurus-Littrow valley in the lunar highlands,
arriving there on Dec. 11.
Cernan and Schmitt a geologist by
profession and the first and only trained scientist to visit the moon Ð
spent three days at Taurus-Littrow, performing three seven-hour
moonwalks and conducting a variety of scientific investigations during
the course of these.
Forty years ago this Friday, on Dec. 14,
1972, Schmitt, and then Cernan, ascended the ladder of Challenger from
the lunar surface.
They then lifted off from the moon and met
with Evans and America. Afterward, the three astronauts and America
departed lunar orbit and headed toward Earth and splashed down into the
Pacific Ocean on Dec. 19.
No one has visited the moon since the Apollo 17 crew departed it four decades ago.
Although there were originally three additional Apollo missions scheduled to fly after Apollo 17, these were cancelled due to budget cuts.
Meanwhile,
even unmanned lunar exploration soon ground to a halt. At the same
time, the former Soviet Union continued to launch a few more Luna
missions during the subsequent years, including the Luna 21 mission,
which deployed a rover in early 1973 and the Luna 24 mission, which
successfully returned lunar samples to Earth in 1976, with the
completion of this latter mission even that program ceased.
It
wasn't until the 1990s that probes of any kind visited the moon; the
earliest ones were the Japanese Hiten probe in 1991 and the American
Clementine probe a Department of Defense mission in 1994. They were
followed by the low-budget American Lunar Prospector mission in 1998.
Although
these were not especially sophisticated missions, Clementine data
indicated the possibility that ice might exist in permanently-shadowed
craters near the moon's poles and data from Lunar Prospector somewhat
strongly supported this.
The past few years have seen a resurgence
in interest in unmanned lunar missions, both here in the U.S. and in
several other countries.
In addition to the American probes,
lunar-orbiting spacecraft have been launched by Japan, China, India and
the European Space Agency.
The two primary American missions have
been the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO) mission, which has been
photographing the moon's surface in unprecedented detail, including
various images of the Apollo landing site and the Lunar Crater
Observation and Sensing Satellite (LCROSS) spacecraft.
The two
probes were co-launched in 2009, and in October of that year, LCROSS
impacted a crater near the moon's south pole, with water being
definitely detected in the resulting debris plume.
A recent
American effort was the Gravity Recovery And Interior Laboratory (GRAIL)
mission, which consisted of two spacecraft since named Ebb and Flow
that have been orbiting the moon closely in tandem with each since the
beginning of this year in an effort to perform high-resolution mapping
of the moon's gravity field.
According to recent results from the
GRAIL mission, the moon's crust nowhere thicker than 27 miles is a
crushed and pulverized "rubble pile" due to the violent and enormous
impacts the moon has undergone since its original formation.
Ebb and Flow are being targeted to impact the moon's surface just before 3:30 p.m. MST Monday, Dec. 17.
So when will humans ever visit the moon again? This question cannot be easily answered.
The
American Constellation program, originally proposed and initiated in
2004, had established a timetable of a flight to the moon to take place
by 2020, however in reality, Constellation was never adequately funded
and it was cancelled in 2010.
While potential lunar missions are
presently being discussed, there are no formal American plans for a
return to the moon anytime in the near- to mid-foreseeable future.
Meanwhile,
the Chinese space program, which has successfully launched several
manned Earth-orbital missions over the past nine years as well as two
unmanned lunar orbiting missions within the past five years, has
announced plans to launch an unmanned lunar rover mission late next year
and to send astronauts to the moon in the 2025-2030 timeframe.
Perhaps the next lunar visitors will come from private efforts.
There
is already the Google Lunar X-Prize, a $30-million prize to be awarded
to the first private-developed effort to land and deploy a lunar rover,
with a deadline date of the end of 2015.
The firm Space
Adventures, which has facilitated several private citizen visits to the
International Space Station (ISS) over the past decade, is currently
marketing an around-the-moon trip, and meanwhile just last week came the
announcement of a new company, Golden Spike, that is envisioning taking
private visitors on lunar orbiting, and even lunar landing, journeys.
The
prices for such trips are not cheap Ð the cost of a Golden Spike lunar
landing mission is being estimated at $1.5 billion Ð so the next human
to set foot on the moon might be one of our planet's wealthiest.
But
in the precedent being set by the Space Adventures ISS flights, the
costs could conceivably become more accessible to more "average"
citizens within a generation or two.
The first human to walk upon the moon, Neil Armstrong, passed away earlier this year.
One
can perhaps hope that the next person to do so is already alive, and
may take that "one small step" sometime within the not-to-distant
future.
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